A developing weather system over the Coral Sea is rapidly gaining strength, prompting serious concerns for communities along the North Queensland coast. The system, designated Tropical Low 12U, is now expected to intensify further as it moves in a south-westerly direction.
System Tracking and Potential Development
According to the latest advice from the Bureau of Meteorology, the tropical low is currently situated in the Coral Sea. Forecast models indicate the system has a high chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the weekend. The official cyclone watch zone currently extends from Cape Melville to Cardwell, including the nearby islands.
Meteorologists are closely monitoring the system's trajectory. While there remains some uncertainty in the precise track, the consensus is that it will continue moving towards the Queensland coast. Residents from Cooktown down to Townsville are being advised to stay vigilant and keep up to date with the latest forecasts.
Community Warnings and Preparedness
Authorities have issued a clear message for people in the potential impact zone to commence their cyclone preparations. This includes securing loose items around properties, reviewing emergency plans, and ensuring emergency kits are stocked and ready.
The Bureau of Meteorology emphasises that a cyclone watch is not a guarantee a cyclone will cross the coast, but indicates there is a significant risk within 48 hours. The situation is dynamic, and the watch area may be expanded or refined as the system's path becomes clearer.
Key actions for residents include:
- Monitoring official warnings from the Bureau of Meteorology and local disaster management groups.
- Clearing yards and balconies of any items that could become dangerous projectiles in strong winds.
- Checking that emergency supplies, including medications, non-perishable food, water, and batteries, are adequate.
- Reviewing evacuation plans and knowing the location of the nearest safe shelter if required.
What Happens Next?
The coming 24 to 48 hours will be critical in determining the future of Tropical Low 12U. Sea surface temperatures in the region are warm, providing ample fuel for the system to strengthen. Wind shear, which can inhibit cyclone development, is currently assessed as moderate.
If the system does develop into a tropical cyclone, it will be named Kirrily, following the Australian cyclone naming list. The next update from the Bureau of Meteorology is eagerly awaited and will provide more definitive guidance on the severity and timing of any potential impacts.
This event serves as a timely reminder for all North Queensland residents, especially those new to the region, about the importance of being cyclone-ready every season. Staying informed through official channels is the best defence against the unpredictable nature of tropical weather systems.