One Nation has overtaken the Coalition in primary support, reaching its widest lead since the Liberal leadership spill that removed Sussan Ley, according to new Roy Morgan polling.
The poll shows One Nation at 25.5 percent primary support, compared to the Coalition's 23 percent. This marks three consecutive weeks of One Nation leading Labor since negative gearing and capital gains tax changes were announced in the 2026-27 budget.
Government confidence has dropped to 65, with 60.5 percent of Australians saying the country is heading in the wrong direction, driven by fuel shortages and the energy crisis amid the US-Iran ceasefire.
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese warned that the economic impact of the Middle East conflict would persist. On a two-party preferred basis, Labor leads the Coalition 53 percent to 47 percent, but a hung parliament is likely if One Nation faces either major party.
The poll, conducted May 18-24, surveyed over 1,600 electors via text.
