Farrer by-election result will set off a political willy-willy
The run-up to a budget always sees a degree of chaos. This year it has looked like one of those willy-willies that blow up in the outback, writes Michelle Grattan.
Corflutes are seen at a pre-polling centre in the seat of Farrer ahead of a by-election, Albury, Thursday, April 30, 2026. Picture: Mick Tsikas/AAP
The by-election in the New South Wales seat of Farrer is set to send shockwaves through the political landscape, with the federal budget already under pressure. The result, expected to be announced on Saturday, could trigger a chain reaction of political manoeuvring and uncertainty.
Analysts predict that the by-election outcome will have significant implications for the government's agenda, particularly in the lead-up to the budget. The seat, previously held by the Nationals, is being closely contested, and any shift in voter sentiment could signal broader trends ahead of the next general election.
The budget, already facing scrutiny over spending and economic forecasts, now faces additional instability. Political commentators warn that the by-election result could embolden crossbenchers and opposition parties, making it harder for the government to pass key legislation.
Michelle Grattan, a veteran political journalist, notes that the by-election is a test of the government's popularity and its ability to manage internal dissent. The outcome may also influence leadership dynamics within the coalition.
As voters head to the polls, all eyes are on Farrer. The result will not only determine the next member for the seat but also set the tone for the political battles ahead.



