A busy weather pattern is unfolding across eastern Australia this week, with onshore winds and a trough over inland New South Wales and Queensland driving a burst of wet weather along the east coast. Showers and storms are also building across inland regions of both states. However, a stubborn high pressure system is creating very different conditions in Victoria, acting as a blocker and keeping moisture away from Victoria and Tasmania, according to 7NEWS weather reports.
High Pressure System Blocks Rain for Victoria
The same high pressure system is also ensuring weather systems peak over Western Australia, preventing them from impacting the southeast. As a result, Victoria and Tasmania remain dry while northern states experience active weather. The month so far compared to the long-term average rainfall for June shows a significant deficit in the southeast, according to the Bureau of Meteorology.
Rain Focus Shifts Southward Over Weekend
As the weekend approaches and into early next week, the rain focus will start to creep southward, though it will largely stay north of the ranges initially. Northern and inland parts of Victoria will see the first real activity, while areas south of the ranges remain comparatively quiet for a little longer. Potential rainfall by Sunday 26 June is forecast to be concentrated in northern Victoria, according to 7NEWS.
Second System Brings Wetter Stretch to Victoria
Another system arrives from the west, which could mean business for more of the state. This second system is what tips Victoria into a genuinely wetter stretch, with rain spreading through more of the state and setting up what looks like a damp start to July. Potential rainfall by next Thursday 2 July shows widespread rain across Victoria, according to 7NEWS. If you’ve been waiting for a proper autumn soaking, it’s on its way — just not quite yet, waiting for the second month of winter.
Alpine Snow Outlook for School Holidays
For school holidays, the snow outlook is mixed. Snowfall delivered a bumper opening long weekend, then disappeared. The good news is that the pattern later next week — particularly as that westerly system moves through — could bring colder air and some meaningful falls to the mountains. It may not be perfect, but there’s reason for cautious optimism if you’ve got a trip booked toward the end of the school holiday break, according to 7NEWS.
Stay tuned — this one’s evolving, and we’ll keep a close eye on the timing for you on 7NEWS. Stream free on 7plus.



