One Nation has become the most popular political party in the country for the first time in history, as Labor's primary vote sinks to an all-time low amid ongoing fallout over the government's broken budget promises.
In the latest Sky News Pulse / YouGov poll, One Nation led the primary vote with 29 per cent, a staggering 23-point increase from the 2025 federal election. Labor fell to its lowest-ever result of 26 per cent, down 9 per cent from the election, while the Coalition languished at 20 per cent.
One Nation has devoured Labor's traditional voting base, with 35 per cent of working-class voters now intending to vote for Pauline Hanson's party.
“One Nation’s surge in primary vote support has come from working-class voters who have historically favoured Labor,” said YouGov’s Director of Public Data Paul Smith. “Working class voters are the majority of voters in most electorates, so the battle for the working class vote between Labor and One Nation will decide the next election.”
The results fly in the face of Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s dismissal of One Nation, after he claimed Labor was the “only mainstream political party” in the country. Senior government MPs have branded One Nation a “party of grievance”, arguing its rise posed a greater threat to the Coalition than Labor.
Among those who voted Labor in 2025, 71 per cent would vote the same, but 14 per cent have defected to One Nation and 4 per cent to the Greens. Despite the primary vote upheaval, Labor retained a narrow edge on a two-party preferred basis: 51.5-48.5 versus the Coalition, and 52.5-47.5 against One Nation.
Mr Albanese maintained a slim lead as preferred prime minister over Opposition Leader Angus Taylor, 41-39, and led Pauline Hanson 47-41. However, satisfaction with Mr Albanese has fallen to a devastating low, with 60 per cent of voters disapproving of his leadership and 34 per cent satisfied, resulting in a net rating of -24.
The poll comes after the Albanese government’s “most important budget” ever, which flopped among voters, with 44 per cent saying it would make them worse off. Amid the dramatic shift in voting intention, about one million voters said they regretted voting for Labor at the 2025 federal election. Sixteen per cent of Labor voters regretted their 2025 ballot paper, compared to nine per cent of Coalition and nine per cent of One Nation voters.
Meanwhile, voters have become more open-minded about One Nation, with 39 per cent “seriously considering” voting for the party, ahead of Labor’s 33 per cent consideration. Amid discussions about a potential Coalition-One Nation alliance, the bulk of voters said they wanted the two conservative parties to team up. Forty-six per cent of all voters said the Liberal-National Coalition and One Nation should team up to form government. Fifty-three per cent of people intending to vote One Nation wanted cooperation, as well as 45 per cent of Coalition voters, yet only 20 per cent of Labor voters supported the move.
Opposition Leader Angus Taylor recently promised the Coalition would do whatever it takes to beat Labor, leaving the door open to a deal with One Nation. The polling momentum has emboldened Ms Hanson, who recently said she was ready to lead the country and has considered a move to the House of Representatives.
“Do I want to be Prime Minister? Well, I tell you what, I won’t knock the job because I believe that I have the ability to do it,” she told Sky News. “I’m not going to underestimate myself or say, ‘no, I can’t do it,’ because you know, have a look at what we’ve got now. That’s why we’re in a mess.”
She added that a run for the House of Representatives in 2028 was “in consideration” but she was not making any decision at this time. She also argued One Nation was drawing support from across the political spectrum, including Labor and Greens voters.
“It’s not just about Coalition, it’s about Labor, it is about the Greens, it is about everyone … (People) are hurting so much,” she told Sky News. “They want truth, honesty, they want clear policies. If you think I haven’t got policies, go and look at my website.”
The Sky News Pulse / YouGov poll was conducted online with 1,471 voters nationally between 26 May and 2 June.
