One Nation Surges Ahead in Victorian Primary Vote, Poll Indicates Hung Parliament
New polling data from Roy Morgan has revealed a significant shift in voter sentiment in Victoria, with One Nation emerging as the leading primary vote choice just nine months before the state election. The survey shows Pauline Hanson's conservative party securing 26.5 per cent of the primary vote, narrowly ahead of the Labor Party at 25.5 per cent.
According to the independent researcher, if a state election were held today, the result would likely be a hung Parliament, highlighting the unpredictable nature of the upcoming political contest. In contrast, a two-party preferred vote places Labor in front of both the Coalition and One Nation, while a three-party preferred result shows Labor well ahead with 44.5 per cent, compared to One Nation at 29.5 per cent and the Coalition at 26 per cent.
Voter Preferences and Leadership Ratings Under Scrutiny
Roy Morgan emphasized that the second and third preference decisions of voters will be more critical than ever in determining the outcome of this year's Victorian State Election. The polling also confirmed a growing disdain for current Premier Jacinta Allan, with opposition leader Jess Wilson voted as the better premier, leading 51 per cent to 42.5 per cent.
Over two-thirds of voters expressed dissatisfaction with Allan's performance, reflecting broader concerns about her leadership. This sentiment was further underscored by a recent incident where Allan lost her cool during a press conference, threatening to end it when questioned about the ongoing CFMEU scandal.
CFMEU Scandal Adds Pressure on Victorian Government
The Victorian government has been facing intense scrutiny following the publication of the Rotting from the Top report by anti-corruption barrister Geoffrey Watson last week. The report detailed escalating criminality within the state's rogue construction union, estimating that the CFMEU's conduct has cost taxpayers approximately $15 billion.
It also found that the government did nothing to curb rising criminality within the state branch of the CFMEU. During a press conference at Victoria's parliament, Allan shut down claims that ministers are internally pushing for an inquiry or royal commission, stating, I want to make it absolutely clear that no one in the caucus has raised matters regarding the calling of a royal commission.
As the election approaches, these developments are likely to shape voter perceptions and influence the political landscape in Victoria, with key issues such as leadership, corruption, and economic management taking center stage.
