Two new national polls conducted after Pauline Hanson's June 17 National Press Club address show a decline in support for One Nation and the Coalition, while Labor and the Greens have gained ground. In Newspoll, the combined One Nation and Coalition vote dropped three points to 46%, while in Redbridge it fell four points to 47%. Conversely, the combined Labor and Greens vote rose five points to 46% in Newspoll and four points to 44% in Redbridge.
Redbridge Poll: Labor Surges in Two-Party Preferred
In the Redbridge poll, Labor's respondent-allocated two-party lead over One Nation jumped five points to 56–44. Pauline Hanson's net favourability slumped ten points to -10, while Angus Taylor's net approval in Newspoll also dropped ten points to -20. The polls were conducted partly after Hanson's address, but earlier polls had been contradictory. It appears that the damage from Hanson's speech may have taken time to fully materialize.
Newspoll Details
Newspoll, conducted June 22–25 from a sample of 1,235, gave Labor 33% of the primary vote (up three), One Nation 29% (down two), the Coalition 17% (down one, a new record low), the Greens 13% (up two), and Others 8% (down two). No two-party estimate was provided, but the shifts indicate a significant swing towards Labor. Anthony Albanese's net approval improved seven points to -17, while Taylor's slumped to a new low of -20. For the first time, Newspoll asked about Hanson's ratings, finding her net approval at -3. In the better PM question, Albanese led Taylor 47–36. In a three-way forced choice, Albanese had 49%, Hanson 31%, and Taylor 20%. Among Taylor's supporters asked to choose between Albanese and Hanson, Albanese led 57–43. When asked what was most important, 54% cited clear and realistic policies, 23% the leader's character, and 21% understanding people like them. Among One Nation voters, 38% prioritized understanding, compared to 13–14% for Labor and Coalition voters.
Redbridge Poll: Labor Extends Leads
The Redbridge and Accent Research poll for The Financial Review, conducted June 22–26 from a sample of 1,006, gave Labor 30% (up two), One Nation 29% (down two), the Coalition 18% (down two), the Greens 14% (up two), and Others 9% (steady). Labor's respondent-allocated two-party lead against One Nation blew out from 51–49 to 56–44, and against the Coalition it rose to 54–46. By 2025 election preference flows, Labor led the Coalition 55–45, a three-point gain. Hanson's net favourability dropped ten points to -10, her worst since December, while Barnaby Joyce's fell seven points to -24. Taylor's net approval was down five points to -9, while Albanese's improved one point to -18. In a three-way preferred PM question, Albanese had 33% (up two), Hanson 23% (down two), and Taylor 11% (down three). On issue ratings, the right led on cost of living (35–32), housing affordability (31–30), immigration (49–23), crime (39–25), and economic management (36–31), while the left led on healthcare (40–28). The left has made gains on these issues.
South Australian DemosAU Poll
The first South Australian state poll since the March election, conducted by DemosAU and Ace Strategies from May 29 to June 15 with a sample of 931, gave Labor 35% (37.5% at election), One Nation 26% (22.9%), the Liberals 18% (18.9%), the Greens 13% (10.4%), and Others 8% (10.3%). Labor led One Nation after preferences 56–44, compared to 58.1–41.9 at the election. Premier Peter Malinauskas' net positive score fell seven points to +22, Liberal leader Ashton Hurn's dropped three points to -3, and One Nation SA leader Cory Bernardi's fell five points to -21. Malinauskas led Hurn as preferred premier 51–20, down from 56–21.
